Crumb Trail
     an impermanent travelogue
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Tuesday, August 26, 2003

American Scientist Online - Ethnoclimatology in the Andes:
"For at least the past four centuries, indigenous potato farmers of the Peruvian and Bolivian Andes have gathered in midwinter to gaze up into the night sky and observe the Pleiades. If this star cluster appears big and bright to them, they think that they will have plentiful rains and big harvests the next summer; if the cluster appears small and dim, they anticipate less abundance. Their belief is so strong that they time the planting of their crops accordingly. One might imagine that this practice amounts to nothing more than an odd superstition, but it turns out that this scheme actually works: The apparent size and brightness of the Pleiades varies with the amount of thin, high cloud at the top of the troposphere, which in turn reflects the severity of El Niño conditions over the Pacific. Because rainfall in this region is generally sparse in El Niño years, this simple method provides a valuable forecast, one that is as good or better than any long-term prediction based on computer modeling of the ocean and atmosphere."

This is another example of the need for multidisciplinary approaches to natural systems research and a trenchant example of tacit knowledge. What these farmers have known for 400 years using their local way of knowing was incomprehensible to science researchers until very recently.

posted by back40 | 8/26/2003 07:39:00 PM


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